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Geoffrey Hinton Warns AI Extinction Risk Is Rising

Geoffrey Hinton, the computer scientist widely regarded as the godfather of artificial intelligence, warned on Friday that the technology is evolving faster than anticipated. He now estimates a 10% to 20% probability that AI could lead to human extinction within the next three decades, citing a lack of meaningful regulation.

Geoffrey Hinton Warns AI Extinction Risk Is Rising

Speaking on BBC Radio 4’s "Today" program, the Nobel laureate argued that humanity has never navigated a scenario where a less intelligent entity successfully controls one that is more capable. He rejected the notion that market forces alone can ensure safety, emphasizing that corporate profit motives are fundamentally incompatible with the necessary safeguards. Hinton, who resigned from Google last year to speak more freely on the subject, maintains that only rigorous government intervention can compel tech giants to prioritize safety over rapid deployment.

Legislative efforts remain fragmented and uncertain. While the U.S. Congress has seen over 120 bills introduced regarding AI, the incoming administration under Donald Trump is expected to rescind current executive orders aimed at mitigating risks. Meanwhile, international attempts at oversight, such as the European Union’s Artificial Intelligence Act, have faced sharp criticism from advocates who argue that industry lobbying rendered the final framework ineffective. For Hinton, the current landscape represents a dangerous gamble, as developers continue to build systems that operate beyond human oversight.

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