The Emissions Gap Report 2026, released by the UN Environment Program, suggests that global temperature rise will likely hit 2.6°C by 2100 if current trajectories hold. This outlook marks a significant deterioration from previous estimates, exacerbated by the US administration’s decision to repeal key components of the Inflation Reduction Act and dismantle long-standing EPA oversight on power plant and vehicle emissions.
Data indicates that the United States saw an increase of 133 megatons of CO2 equivalent in the last year alone, a surge largely fueled by rising electricity demand and a renewed reliance on coal. Lead author Anne Olhoff notes that these policy changes are projected to push 2030 emissions nearly 0.9 gigatons higher than previous forecasts. Experts warn that this shift adds approximately one-tenth of a degree Celsius to global temperatures, a figure that translates into increased frequency of extreme heatwaves, flooding, and agricultural instability for vulnerable regions.

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