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ArcelorMittal Faces Earnings Test Amid Rising Energy Costs

With third-quarter results arriving Thursday, ArcelorMittal must reconcile a projected increase in core earnings against mounting operational headwinds. Analysts anticipate an Ebitda of $1.97 billion, up from $1.51 billion last year, as the steelmaker attempts to leverage European pricing mechanisms to offset surging coal and electricity costs.

ArcelorMittal Faces Earnings Test Amid Rising Energy Costs

Adjusted net profit is expected to reach $652 million, a figure that excludes a $1 billion charge related to the forced suspension of operations at the Kryvyi Rih plant in Ukraine following fatal missile strikes. Despite these severe geopolitical disruptions, the firm maintains a positive outlook on its pricing power within the European market.

Investors remain focused on whether the company can sustain its momentum after a share price decline since early September. J.P. Morgan analysts suggest that current results will be a critical indicator of the firm’s earnings trajectory through 2027. Success hinges on whether the benefits of regional import tariffs and steel pricing trends can effectively shield the bottom line from the volatility of global energy markets.

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